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Have you ever thrown a stick into a fast moving river and had the stick float upstream against the current? Probably not. It's the same with stocks.
- Approximately 40% of a stock's movement is controlled by the direction of the market's trend.
- 35% of a stock's movement is controlled by the sector/group to which the stock belongs to.
- Stock movements by themselves, regardless of market/sector/group movements, only happen approximately 25% of the time.
The bottom line is stocks go up because the market/sector/group
goes up. The most highly regarded stocks will generally move higher
than other stocks in their sector/group,
but they generally don't move against the market. Buying any equity
(stock, ETF, mutual fund, etc.) without regard for the market's
direction is a statistically significant losing proposition. All
things being equal, your chances of winning at Black Jack in Vegas
are better than going against the market's trend. Be smart and swim
with the current, not against it. As Richard Wyckoff, one of the greatest market technicians of our time once said, "Anyone who buys or sells a stock, a bond, or a commodity for profit is speculating if he employs intelligent foresight. If he does not, he is gambling."
“I was a former attorney for a large
New York-based brokerage firm. For the most part, our brokers were salespeople
and didn’t have a clue about managing money. Their job was to gather
assets, not manage money. It was our standard practice to promote asset allocation
through Modern Portfolio Theory because it was the only legally defensible
position that would hold up in court. It also required the least amount of
time so our reps could focus on raising assets.
I found it ironic that we did not practice what we preached. Our own trading desk used quantitative based methods to manage our firm’s assets, but we promoted something entirely different to our clients.
“I write you this long message because your commentary is right on the money. Wall Street has spent millions of dollars propagating a buy-and-hold message so that their brokers can sell more stock and protect their backside from litigation attorneys. “To hell with what is best for the client.” It is fair to say that this fraudulent message has cost the American investor billions of dollars during the last bear market and thus changed the retirement plans for millions of retirees. Spitzer has it all wrong and is prosecuting the wrong people for the wrong reasons. The buy-and-hold myth is the biggest white-collar crime ever committed against the American investor.
I have been a long time customer of yours and promote your service to everyone I know. Thanks for helping me grow and protect my retirement assets.
I found it ironic that we did not practice what we preached. Our own trading desk used quantitative based methods to manage our firm’s assets, but we promoted something entirely different to our clients.
“I write you this long message because your commentary is right on the money. Wall Street has spent millions of dollars propagating a buy-and-hold message so that their brokers can sell more stock and protect their backside from litigation attorneys. “To hell with what is best for the client.” It is fair to say that this fraudulent message has cost the American investor billions of dollars during the last bear market and thus changed the retirement plans for millions of retirees. Spitzer has it all wrong and is prosecuting the wrong people for the wrong reasons. The buy-and-hold myth is the biggest white-collar crime ever committed against the American investor.
I have been a long time customer of yours and promote your service to everyone I know. Thanks for helping me grow and protect my retirement assets.
B.E. California
Why Buying And Holding
Is Dangerous To Your Retirement
When someone tells you that the dam is breaking, do you just stand there and get washed away by the floodwaters? Why does the professional management industry give you that advice for managing your retirement? Why have trillions of dollars been lost to the millennium bear market due to the bad advice of passive money management?
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How To Evaluate A Good
Stock Market Timing System
The trick to identifying a good stock market timing system for you has a lot to do with your personality. You might think a system averaging 80% returns is a great system, but what if I told you that this system had a risk potential of 35%? Most people cannot tolerate a system that decreases their investment capital more than 20%. Your willingness and ability to accept risk should help you identifying a good money management system and determine the amount of your assets to manage with it.
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Beating The S&P 500
with Market Timing
Approximately 75% of fund managers do not beat the S&P 500 year in and year out. How can a basket of 500 stocks beat the majority of actively managed mutual funds? The people who manage these funds are for the most part brilliant people. They are highly educated and have access to the most advanced information and decision support systems in the world. So why is it that they do not outperform the S&P 500?
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Low Risk Investment Strategies
Modern Portfolio Theory and Market Neutral strategies are widely accepted but are rarely incorporated successfully by either the professional community or the investment public. We passionately believe that the EquiTrend stock market Timing System is the best and easiest way to lower your risk and substantially increase your returns, but we recognize other investment strategies are able to achieve high Reward Low Risk investment returns. How is your money being managed?
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Why Stock Market Timing
It’s important that you understand the impact that a bear market has on your capital. The give and take of your investment capital is not equal. If you placed $100 into an investment and it declined 50% to $50, what is the rate of return you would need to earn back your original investment of $100? Once you lose money, it takes a much greater return on the funds you have left to recapture your original investment. In this case, you would need a 100% gain on the remaining $50 to recapture your original $100 investment.
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Discover What It’s Like
to Live Easy With EquiTrend  |